While electile dysfunction devours huge bits of American attention - certain regimes and their fanboys pay attention too. For years it was widely understood in the ME that Great Satan didn’t act out militarily in an election year - or even the year before an election year. The Lame Duck syndrome.

Only since 911 though - it hasn’t been so clear cut. Abdul Rahman Al-Rashed the general manager of Al -Arabiya television points out the Arab street has fell for the old Great Satan is safe as milk election year jazz before.

“Saddam Hussein was excluding the possibility of such a war, relying on the
views of Arab television analysts. They told him not to worry about the threats
and the massing of fleets. They assured him that anti-war demonstrations, public
opinion surveys, and the approaching end of the President’s first term would
prevent war. How wrong they were! “

This is significant. Despite sexy Syrian risque rapprochment out reaches there is a deadly chance that Great Satan’s politics aside - she could act out more like a hawk - and not so lame either.

A group, like Hezbollah did in occupying West Beirut, could upset the balance
and carry out a coup against a regime thinking that the American player is
preoccupied with the elections and the President is spending his day drinking
tea and packing his bags in preparation for returning to his state, Texas.

The second prevailing theory is that the United States has become a weak
state like Mauritania, and the time is appropriate today to punish the Americans
by serving Iran and advancing on the ground, confident that no one will do
anything.

In other words, a misunderstanding of the work mechanism in American politics
encourages adventures and promotes chaos. This is what happened with former
Iraqi President Saddam Hussein when he occupied Kuwait on the morning of 2
August 1990. He thought that he was permitted to fill the vacuum. Such incorrect
theories have led to serious tragedies.

Serious tragedies like a regime killing regime change launched at several opponents at once - especially if they feel there is a chance to act out with out restraint or even deliver an ‘October surprise’

Persia’s Foreign Minister Mottaki, is one of the Mullahs’ most precious minions. Loyal, productive and as underground Iran cat Rooz’s dossier details, Mottaki’s bona fides as a revolutionary killer fan boy. Not long after hooking up with Khomeinist comrades Mottaki was on his way

“A year later, in 1985, Mottaki was appointed as Iran’s ambassador to Turkey. At that time, Turkey was a desired destination for many Iranians who belonged to opposition groups and were fleeing either to Europe or Iraq through Turkey.

During Mottaki’s tenure, many of the Islamic Republic’s dissidents were killed across Turkey, prompting Turkish officials to accuse Mottaki of instigating instability and issuing him a persona non grata status, which meant he had to leave the country within 24 hours.”

FoMin Mottaki dissess any chance for military action by anyone. Iran is Invincible!

“So, our analysis is, in fact, that neither the region nor the United States of America, nor anyone elsewhere in the world, has the capacity to witness another military attack in the region.”

False witness is more like it.  The Sept ‘07 Study by the Director of the School of Oriental and African Studies’ Centre for International Studies and Diplomacy gives witness about what all is sweetly hanging out ready to act out:

In recent years, hugely increased funding for military technology has taken
“smart bombs” to a new level. New “bunker-busting” conventional bombs weigh
only 250lb. According to Boeing, the GBU-39 small-diameter bomb “quadruples”
the firepower of US warplanes, compared to those in use even as recently as
2003.

A single stealth or B-52 bomber can now attack between 150 and 300
individual points to within a metre of accuracy using the global positioning
system.8 One B2 bomber dropped 80 500lb bombs on separate targets in 22
seconds in a test flight.

Using just half the available force, 10,000 targets could be attacked
almost simultaneously. This strike power alone is sufficient to damage Iranian
political, military, economic and transport capabilities. Such a strike would take “shock and awe” to a new level and leave Iran with few if any conventional military capabilities to block the straights of Hormuz or provide conventional military support to insurgents in Iraq.

The US air force can hit the last-known position of Iranian military units, political
leaders and supposed sites of weapons of mass destruction. One can be sure that, if
war comes, George Bush will not want to stand accused of using too little force and
allowing Iran to fight back. “Global Strike” means that, without any obvious signal,
what was done to Serbia and Lebanon can be done overnight to the whole of Iran.

It is likely that the United States would select a much more wide-ranging set of
attacks on Iran, since they have strategic interests in destroying Iranian
military power that go far beyond preventing Iranian acquisition of the
bomb.

Add the air blitzing sweet petite precision pdf capabilities of Little Satan and Iran’s pitiful defensive capabilities into the mix and a very diff pic emerges - no old school escalation jazz that is so last millennium - measures and counter measures played out like an elaborate Chess game.

Instead - a Regime Killing Regime Change is more likely - perfected, plotted and prepped for an especial long weekend - no less.

Electile dysfunction aside, Great Satan got claws. Like a hawk.

Semi charmed, self absorbed, self centered, shallow, discombobulated, flirtacious, machiavellian, manipulative, cruel, precious, conniving, deceitfully sweet, materialistic, narcissistic, jealous, hedonistic, stuck up, semi retarded, wishful, lazy, spoiled, high maintainance ne'er do well pixie with a penchant for immense libraries, depleting strategic cash reserves and wrecking cars every 10 months. Super saavy history and current events. My superior intellect and easy going smartassticness armed with a chaotic emotion meter gave me a formidable ability to be independently dependent. Currently exiled in Hillbillyland, I wield a vocabulary far above my tiny tiny weight class and have traveled widely including Europe, the Middle East and Alabama. I like Am Ex, Carte Blanche, Discover, Mastercard, Ray Bans, Visa and devouring American Dollars in alarming quantities.